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	<title>Alphaverse.com&#187; Nassim Taleb</title>
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	<link>http://www.alphaverse.com</link>
	<description>Life, the Multiverse and Everything...</description>
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		<item>
		<title>&#8220;Federal Reserve &#8216;Will Be Gone&#8217; In 25 Years!&#8221;</title>
		<link>http://www.alphaverse.com/federal-reserve-will-be-gone-in-25-years/2010/10</link>
		<comments>http://www.alphaverse.com/federal-reserve-will-be-gone-in-25-years/2010/10#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 22 Oct 2010 09:45:13 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Hyperborean</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Economic models]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Finance & Business]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Financial Crisis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Nassim Taleb]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[The Black Swan]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.alphaverse.com/?p=7660</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[He said it over and over again, yet he's now even more eloquent. Taleb states that: <i>"Federal Reserve 'Will Be Gone' In 25 Years, Top Financial Mind Predicts, Despite Geithner's Vote Of Confidence" </i> The impact and importance of the underestimated book The Black Swan still doesn't seize to amaze me...
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<li><a href='http://www.alphaverse.com/taleb-strikes-again-krugman-and-geithner-are-bad-for-society/2010/10' rel='bookmark' title='Taleb strikes again; don&#8217;t listen to Krugman and Geithner'>Taleb strikes again; don&#8217;t listen to Krugman and Geithner</a></li>
<li><a href='http://www.alphaverse.com/videos-carmen-reinhart-co-author-of-this-time-is-different-on-mega-post/2010/05' rel='bookmark' title='Videos: Carmen Reinhart, co-author, of This Time is Different On Mega Post!'>Videos: Carmen Reinhart, co-author, of This Time is Different On Mega Post!</a></li>
</ol>]]></description>
		<wfw:commentRss>http://www.alphaverse.com/federal-reserve-will-be-gone-in-25-years/2010/10/feed</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Taleb strikes again; don&#8217;t listen to Krugman and Geithner</title>
		<link>http://www.alphaverse.com/taleb-strikes-again-krugman-and-geithner-are-bad-for-society/2010/10</link>
		<comments>http://www.alphaverse.com/taleb-strikes-again-krugman-and-geithner-are-bad-for-society/2010/10#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 22 Oct 2010 09:33:24 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Hyperborean</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Finance & Business]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Market Complexity]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Nassim Taleb]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[The Black Swan]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.alphaverse.com/?p=7656</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Since Tim Geithner did not predict the economic crisis, Nassim Taleb has no interest in listening to him talk about it now. The author of The Black Swan, a book about risk and probability theory, told National Journal&#8217;s Matthew Cooper that he did not listen to Geithner, who preceded him at the Washington Ideas Forum. [...]
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<li><a href='http://www.alphaverse.com/federal-reserve-will-be-gone-in-25-years/2010/10' rel='bookmark' title='&#8220;Federal Reserve &#8216;Will Be Gone&#8217; In 25 Years!&#8221;'>&#8220;Federal Reserve &#8216;Will Be Gone&#8217; In 25 Years!&#8221;</a></li>
<li><a href='http://www.alphaverse.com/interview-nocera-on-the-crisis-and-all-the-devils-are-here/2010/12' rel='bookmark' title='Interview: Nocera on the Crisis and All the Devils Are Here'>Interview: Nocera on the Crisis and All the Devils Are Here</a></li>
</ol>]]></description>
		<wfw:commentRss>http://www.alphaverse.com/taleb-strikes-again-krugman-and-geithner-are-bad-for-society/2010/10/feed</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Errors in the Interpretation of the Black Swan philosophy</title>
		<link>http://www.alphaverse.com/errors-in-the-interpretation-of-the-black-swan-philosophy/2009/11</link>
		<comments>http://www.alphaverse.com/errors-in-the-interpretation-of-the-black-swan-philosophy/2009/11#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 04 Nov 2009 20:30:02 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Hyperborean</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Life, the Universe and Everything]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Nassim Taleb]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[The Black Swan]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.alphaverse.com/?p=1182</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Summary of the problem discussed in The Black Swan (and associated papers): The problem, basically stated (which I have had to repeat continuously) is about the degradation of knowledge when it comes to rare events (”tail events”), with serious consequences in some domains I call “Extremistan” (where these events play a huge role, manifested by [...]
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<li><a href='http://www.alphaverse.com/ten-principles-for-a-black-swan-proof-world/2009/04' rel='bookmark' title='Ten principles for a Black Swan-proof world'>Ten principles for a Black Swan-proof world</a></li>
<li><a href='http://www.alphaverse.com/the-black-swan-nassim-tale/2009/04' rel='bookmark' title='The Black Swans&#8230;'>The Black Swans&#8230;</a></li>
<li><a href='http://www.alphaverse.com/black-swans-complexity-the-collapse-and-the-future/2009/05' rel='bookmark' title='Black Swans, complexity, financial collapse etc.'>Black Swans, complexity, financial collapse etc.</a></li>
</ol>]]></description>
		<wfw:commentRss>http://www.alphaverse.com/errors-in-the-interpretation-of-the-black-swan-philosophy/2009/11/feed</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>A historical testimony to the US congress! Or is it?!</title>
		<link>http://www.alphaverse.com/the-black-swan-casting-pearls-to-swines-or-is-it/2009/09</link>
		<comments>http://www.alphaverse.com/the-black-swan-casting-pearls-to-swines-or-is-it/2009/09#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 16 Sep 2009 22:15:03 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Hyperborean</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Featured]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Financial Crisis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Nassim Taleb]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[The Black Swan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Societal issues]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.alphaverse.com/?p=985</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Can you recall a moment when you could honestly say &#8216;I told you so&#8217;, but when no one listens? Well this just might be one of those for me. This Thursday September the 10th marks perhaps a historic development for both Washington and the financial markets. The US Congress&#8217; Committee on Science and Technology held a [...]
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<li><a href='http://www.alphaverse.com/federal-reserve-will-be-gone-in-25-years/2010/10' rel='bookmark' title='&#8220;Federal Reserve &#8216;Will Be Gone&#8217; In 25 Years!&#8221;'>&#8220;Federal Reserve &#8216;Will Be Gone&#8217; In 25 Years!&#8221;</a></li>
<li><a href='http://www.alphaverse.com/taleb-zeitgeist-europe-09/2009/06' rel='bookmark' title='Taleb @ Zeitgeist Europe &#8217;09'>Taleb @ Zeitgeist Europe &#8217;09</a></li>
</ol>]]></description>
		<wfw:commentRss>http://www.alphaverse.com/the-black-swan-casting-pearls-to-swines-or-is-it/2009/09/feed</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Taleb Bets on Hyperinflation, or even Deflation</title>
		<link>http://www.alphaverse.com/taleb-bets-on-black-swan-deflation-or-even-hyperinflation/2009/06</link>
		<comments>http://www.alphaverse.com/taleb-bets-on-black-swan-deflation-or-even-hyperinflation/2009/06#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 04 Jun 2009 21:25:32 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Hyperborean</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Financial Crisis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Nassim Taleb]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[The Black Swan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Uncertainty]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.alphaverse.com/?p=787</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Universa Investments LP, the hedge-fund advised by &#8220;Black Swan&#8221; author Nassim Taleb,  has a new strategy where they&#8217;re betting that the massive stimulus efforts of global governments will lead to hyperinflation. The governments pumping money into the economy cannot prevent hyperinflation, and in the loger run will lead to deflation as well . The strategy has also been reported [...]
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<li><a href='http://www.alphaverse.com/video-nassim-taleb-on-risk-and-robustness-in-the-economy/2010/06' rel='bookmark' title='Video: Nassim Taleb on Risk and Robustness in the Economy'>Video: Nassim Taleb on Risk and Robustness in the Economy</a></li>
<li><a href='http://www.alphaverse.com/video-nouriel-roubini-a-crash-course-in-the-future-of-finance/2010/06' rel='bookmark' title='Video: Nouriel Roubini: A Crash Course in the Future of Finance'>Video: Nouriel Roubini: A Crash Course in the Future of Finance</a></li>
</ol>]]></description>
		<wfw:commentRss>http://www.alphaverse.com/taleb-bets-on-black-swan-deflation-or-even-hyperinflation/2009/06/feed</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Taleb @ Zeitgeist Europe &#8217;09</title>
		<link>http://www.alphaverse.com/taleb-zeitgeist-europe-09/2009/06</link>
		<comments>http://www.alphaverse.com/taleb-zeitgeist-europe-09/2009/06#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 01 Jun 2009 18:03:26 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Hyperborean</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Financial Crisis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Nassim Taleb]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[The Black Swan]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.alphaverse.com/?p=741</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Staying the Course: Part II &#8211; Zeitgeist Europe &#8217;09 The panel explores those improbable events that the marketplace under-assesses but which end having a powerful and unanticipated influence for investors.  Taleb author of brilliant book The Black Swan says “the more you study economics the less competent you’re going to be…. the past is not [...]
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</ol>]]></description>
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		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Black Swans, complexity, financial collapse etc.</title>
		<link>http://www.alphaverse.com/black-swans-complexity-the-collapse-and-the-future/2009/05</link>
		<comments>http://www.alphaverse.com/black-swans-complexity-the-collapse-and-the-future/2009/05#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 23 May 2009 10:38:21 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Hyperborean</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Collapse of Society]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Financial Crisis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Life, the Universe and Everything]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Nassim Taleb]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Video]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[John Petersen]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[The Black Swan]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.alphaverse.com/?p=701</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[A very thoughfull guy, John Petersen, looks into the future and explains what our societies are facing with the current transformations onset by the evergrowing complexity in the world. Being a remarkably diverse fellow, Petersen elaborates further on the widely misunderstood impact of what Nassim Nicholas Taleb calls &#8216;The Black Swans&#8217; and gives some other [...]
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<li><a href='http://www.alphaverse.com/complexity-in-financial-markets/2009/11' rel='bookmark' title='Complexity In Financial Markets'>Complexity In Financial Markets</a></li>
<li><a href='http://www.alphaverse.com/talebs-mathematical-appendix-empirical-data-for-the-black-swans/2009/04' rel='bookmark' title='Taleb&#8217;s Appendix &#8211; Empirical Data for Black Swans'>Taleb&#8217;s Appendix &#8211; Empirical Data for Black Swans</a></li>
</ol>]]></description>
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		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Let&#8217;s face it; Economists are charlatans!</title>
		<link>http://www.alphaverse.com/lets-face-it-economists-are-charlatans/2009/05</link>
		<comments>http://www.alphaverse.com/lets-face-it-economists-are-charlatans/2009/05#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 21 May 2009 16:33:23 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Hyperborean</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Financial Crisis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Nassim Taleb]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Gaussian Bell Curve]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.alphaverse.com/?p=404</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[At the New Yorker summit Robert Shiller and Nassim Taleb discuss what to do in such times when the spirits aren&#8217;t brave at all.  Shiller, a Yale economist who famously predicted the last two booms also wrote a book called “Animal Spirits in which he posits that shifts in the economy follow the irrational actions of [...]
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</ol>]]></description>
		<wfw:commentRss>http://www.alphaverse.com/lets-face-it-economists-are-charlatans/2009/05/feed</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>2</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Complex systems, the economy and experts&#8230;</title>
		<link>http://www.alphaverse.com/complex-systems-the-economy-and-experts/2009/05</link>
		<comments>http://www.alphaverse.com/complex-systems-the-economy-and-experts/2009/05#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 16 May 2009 10:42:58 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Hyperborean</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Edge.org]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Nassim Taleb]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Financial Crisis]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.alphaverse.com/?p=383</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[After all, we are witnessing the Waterloo of Wall Street. So, ironically, it was in the Canadian province of Ontario, in the small town of Waterloo, that a meeting was convened to shed new light on the world&#8217;s financial debacle. In a densely packed conference schedule, the general approach was to take measure of the [...]
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<li><a href='http://www.alphaverse.com/federal-reserve-will-be-gone-in-25-years/2010/10' rel='bookmark' title='&#8220;Federal Reserve &#8216;Will Be Gone&#8217; In 25 Years!&#8221;'>&#8220;Federal Reserve &#8216;Will Be Gone&#8217; In 25 Years!&#8221;</a></li>
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</ol>]]></description>
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		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Taleb&#8217;s map of &#8216;The Limits of Statistics&#8217;</title>
		<link>http://www.alphaverse.com/talebs-map-of-the-limits-of-statistics/2009/05</link>
		<comments>http://www.alphaverse.com/talebs-map-of-the-limits-of-statistics/2009/05#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 09 May 2009 17:00:41 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Hyperborean</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[In Dutch]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Nassim Taleb]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[The Black Swan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[The Long Tail]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[NNT]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Randomness]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Uncertainty]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Unpredictable Events]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.alphaverse.com/?p=272</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Voor als de schemering precies de juiste gloed van roze heeft; raadpleeg deze essay van Taleb. Het gaat het over allerlei &#8216;fallacies&#8217; (drogredenen) en valkuilen waar men te maken heeft in sociale situaties: o.a. de problemen met het bepalen van de juiste distributies (in bepaalde sociale situaties waar men foutief de normale distributie veronderstelt)  confirmation bias &#8216;silent [...]
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<li><a href='http://www.alphaverse.com/talebs-mathematical-appendix-empirical-data-for-the-black-swans/2009/04' rel='bookmark' title='Taleb&#8217;s Appendix &#8211; Empirical Data for Black Swans'>Taleb&#8217;s Appendix &#8211; Empirical Data for Black Swans</a></li>
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</ol>]]></description>
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		<slash:comments>1</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>&#8220;Are you gonna bark all day, little doggy, or are you gonna bite?&#8221;</title>
		<link>http://www.alphaverse.com/are-you-gonna-bark-all-day-little-doggy-or-are-you-gonna-bite/2009/05</link>
		<comments>http://www.alphaverse.com/are-you-gonna-bark-all-day-little-doggy-or-are-you-gonna-bite/2009/05#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 05 May 2009 22:33:55 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Hyperborean</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Nassim Taleb]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mathematics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Statistics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[The Black Swan]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.alphaverse.com/?p=249</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[This is exactly the phrase that crosses my mind when reading the critics of Taleb&#8217;s Ten principles for a Black Swan-proof world, mostly from &#8216;distinguished&#8217; financial &#8216;experts&#8217;. But the dog can bite in this case! I can feel their wrath, often mere desperation and basically, a persistent lack of objective argumentation against Taleb&#8217;s postulated theory of inherently unpredictable [...]
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</ol>]]></description>
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		</item>
		<item>
		<title>And then God gave upon thee, The Stone Talebs&#8217;</title>
		<link>http://www.alphaverse.com/and-then-god-gave-upon-thee-the-stone-talebs/2009/04</link>
		<comments>http://www.alphaverse.com/and-then-god-gave-upon-thee-the-stone-talebs/2009/04#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 28 Apr 2009 21:59:24 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Hyperborean</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Nassim Taleb]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[The Black Swan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ludic Fallacy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Narrative Fallacy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Statistical regression fallacy]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.alphaverse.com/?p=228</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Okay, let&#8217;s try to elect the mediocre thinking to a higher level and see what it is that constitutes the human understading of the world. Or rather, what it is that doesn&#8217;t. But, isn&#8217;t that a bit too enthousiastic, one might ask?! Well, it depends who you ask I guess. Nassim Taleb, a Greek amongst [...]
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</ol>]]></description>
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		<slash:comments>1</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Taleb&#8217;s Appendix &#8211; Empirical Data for Black Swans</title>
		<link>http://www.alphaverse.com/talebs-mathematical-appendix-empirical-data-for-the-black-swans/2009/04</link>
		<comments>http://www.alphaverse.com/talebs-mathematical-appendix-empirical-data-for-the-black-swans/2009/04#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 24 Apr 2009 18:22:36 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Hyperborean</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Nassim Taleb]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[The Black Swan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Improbability]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mathematics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Statistics]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.alphaverse.com/?p=236</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The Role and Nature of High Impact Events (Black Swans): Technical Commentary and Empirical Data  -  Written by N. N. Taleb This is an appendix to the Edge piece.  It is striking how some simple, simple tests (of stability of the 4th moment and failures of stress testing) can invalidate tens of thousand of research papers [...]
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</ol>]]></description>
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		<slash:comments>1</slash:comments>
		</item>
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