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	<title>Alphaverse.com&#187; The Black Swan</title>
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	<description>Life, the Multiverse and Everything...</description>
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		<title>Errors in the Interpretation of the Black Swan philosophy</title>
		<link>http://www.alphaverse.com/errors-in-the-interpretation-of-the-black-swan-philosophy/2009/11</link>
		<comments>http://www.alphaverse.com/errors-in-the-interpretation-of-the-black-swan-philosophy/2009/11#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 04 Nov 2009 20:30:02 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Hyperborean</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Life, the Universe and Everything]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Nassim Taleb]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[The Black Swan]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.alphaverse.com/?p=1182</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Summary of the problem discussed in The Black Swan (and associated papers): The problem, basically stated (which I have had to repeat continuously) is about the degradation of knowledge when it comes to rare events (”tail events”), with serious consequences in some domains I call “Extremistan” (where these events play a huge role, manifested by [...]
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<li><a href='http://www.alphaverse.com/ten-principles-for-a-black-swan-proof-world/2009/04' rel='bookmark' title='Ten principles for a Black Swan-proof world'>Ten principles for a Black Swan-proof world</a></li>
<li><a href='http://www.alphaverse.com/the-black-swan-nassim-tale/2009/04' rel='bookmark' title='The Black Swans&#8230;'>The Black Swans&#8230;</a></li>
<li><a href='http://www.alphaverse.com/black-swans-complexity-the-collapse-and-the-future/2009/05' rel='bookmark' title='Black Swans, complexity, financial collapse etc.'>Black Swans, complexity, financial collapse etc.</a></li>
</ol>]]></description>
		<wfw:commentRss>http://www.alphaverse.com/errors-in-the-interpretation-of-the-black-swan-philosophy/2009/11/feed</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>A historical testimony to the US congress! Or is it?!</title>
		<link>http://www.alphaverse.com/the-black-swan-casting-pearls-to-swines-or-is-it/2009/09</link>
		<comments>http://www.alphaverse.com/the-black-swan-casting-pearls-to-swines-or-is-it/2009/09#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 16 Sep 2009 22:15:03 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Hyperborean</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Featured]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Financial Crisis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Nassim Taleb]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[The Black Swan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Societal issues]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.alphaverse.com/?p=985</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Can you recall a moment when you could honestly say &#8216;I told you so&#8217;, but when no one listens? Well this just might be one of those for me. This Thursday September the 10th marks perhaps a historic development for both Washington and the financial markets. The US Congress&#8217; Committee on Science and Technology held a [...]
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<li><a href='http://www.alphaverse.com/federal-reserve-will-be-gone-in-25-years/2010/10' rel='bookmark' title='&#8220;Federal Reserve &#8216;Will Be Gone&#8217; In 25 Years!&#8221;'>&#8220;Federal Reserve &#8216;Will Be Gone&#8217; In 25 Years!&#8221;</a></li>
<li><a href='http://www.alphaverse.com/taleb-zeitgeist-europe-09/2009/06' rel='bookmark' title='Taleb @ Zeitgeist Europe &#8217;09'>Taleb @ Zeitgeist Europe &#8217;09</a></li>
</ol>]]></description>
		<wfw:commentRss>http://www.alphaverse.com/the-black-swan-casting-pearls-to-swines-or-is-it/2009/09/feed</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Taleb Bets on Hyperinflation, or even Deflation</title>
		<link>http://www.alphaverse.com/taleb-bets-on-black-swan-deflation-or-even-hyperinflation/2009/06</link>
		<comments>http://www.alphaverse.com/taleb-bets-on-black-swan-deflation-or-even-hyperinflation/2009/06#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 04 Jun 2009 21:25:32 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Hyperborean</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Financial Crisis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Nassim Taleb]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[The Black Swan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Uncertainty]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.alphaverse.com/?p=787</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Universa Investments LP, the hedge-fund advised by &#8220;Black Swan&#8221; author Nassim Taleb,  has a new strategy where they&#8217;re betting that the massive stimulus efforts of global governments will lead to hyperinflation. The governments pumping money into the economy cannot prevent hyperinflation, and in the loger run will lead to deflation as well . The strategy has also been reported [...]
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<li><a href='http://www.alphaverse.com/taleb-zeitgeist-europe-09/2009/06' rel='bookmark' title='Taleb @ Zeitgeist Europe &#8217;09'>Taleb @ Zeitgeist Europe &#8217;09</a></li>
<li><a href='http://www.alphaverse.com/video-nassim-taleb-on-risk-and-robustness-in-the-economy/2010/06' rel='bookmark' title='Video: Nassim Taleb on Risk and Robustness in the Economy'>Video: Nassim Taleb on Risk and Robustness in the Economy</a></li>
<li><a href='http://www.alphaverse.com/video-nouriel-roubini-a-crash-course-in-the-future-of-finance/2010/06' rel='bookmark' title='Video: Nouriel Roubini: A Crash Course in the Future of Finance'>Video: Nouriel Roubini: A Crash Course in the Future of Finance</a></li>
</ol>]]></description>
		<wfw:commentRss>http://www.alphaverse.com/taleb-bets-on-black-swan-deflation-or-even-hyperinflation/2009/06/feed</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Taleb @ Zeitgeist Europe &#8217;09</title>
		<link>http://www.alphaverse.com/taleb-zeitgeist-europe-09/2009/06</link>
		<comments>http://www.alphaverse.com/taleb-zeitgeist-europe-09/2009/06#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 01 Jun 2009 18:03:26 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Hyperborean</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Financial Crisis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Nassim Taleb]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[The Black Swan]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.alphaverse.com/?p=741</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Staying the Course: Part II &#8211; Zeitgeist Europe &#8217;09 The panel explores those improbable events that the marketplace under-assesses but which end having a powerful and unanticipated influence for investors.  Taleb author of brilliant book The Black Swan says “the more you study economics the less competent you’re going to be…. the past is not [...]
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<li><a href='http://www.alphaverse.com/video-nassim-taleb-on-risk-and-robustness-in-the-economy/2010/06' rel='bookmark' title='Video: Nassim Taleb on Risk and Robustness in the Economy'>Video: Nassim Taleb on Risk and Robustness in the Economy</a></li>
<li><a href='http://www.alphaverse.com/taleb-bets-on-black-swan-deflation-or-even-hyperinflation/2009/06' rel='bookmark' title='Taleb Bets on Hyperinflation, or even Deflation'>Taleb Bets on Hyperinflation, or even Deflation</a></li>
<li><a href='http://www.alphaverse.com/taleb-strikes-again-krugman-and-geithner-are-bad-for-society/2010/10' rel='bookmark' title='Taleb strikes again; don&#8217;t listen to Krugman and Geithner'>Taleb strikes again; don&#8217;t listen to Krugman and Geithner</a></li>
</ol>]]></description>
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		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Black Swans, complexity, financial collapse etc.</title>
		<link>http://www.alphaverse.com/black-swans-complexity-the-collapse-and-the-future/2009/05</link>
		<comments>http://www.alphaverse.com/black-swans-complexity-the-collapse-and-the-future/2009/05#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 23 May 2009 10:38:21 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Hyperborean</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Collapse of Society]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Financial Crisis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Life, the Universe and Everything]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Nassim Taleb]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Video]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[John Petersen]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[The Black Swan]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.alphaverse.com/?p=701</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[A very thoughfull guy, John Petersen, looks into the future and explains what our societies are facing with the current transformations onset by the evergrowing complexity in the world. Being a remarkably diverse fellow, Petersen elaborates further on the widely misunderstood impact of what Nassim Nicholas Taleb calls &#8216;The Black Swans&#8217; and gives some other [...]
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<li><a href='http://www.alphaverse.com/complexity-in-financial-markets/2009/11' rel='bookmark' title='Complexity In Financial Markets'>Complexity In Financial Markets</a></li>
<li><a href='http://www.alphaverse.com/talebs-mathematical-appendix-empirical-data-for-the-black-swans/2009/04' rel='bookmark' title='Taleb&#8217;s Appendix &#8211; Empirical Data for Black Swans'>Taleb&#8217;s Appendix &#8211; Empirical Data for Black Swans</a></li>
</ol>]]></description>
		<wfw:commentRss>http://www.alphaverse.com/black-swans-complexity-the-collapse-and-the-future/2009/05/feed</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>&#8220;Are you gonna bark all day, little doggy, or are you gonna bite?&#8221;</title>
		<link>http://www.alphaverse.com/are-you-gonna-bark-all-day-little-doggy-or-are-you-gonna-bite/2009/05</link>
		<comments>http://www.alphaverse.com/are-you-gonna-bark-all-day-little-doggy-or-are-you-gonna-bite/2009/05#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 05 May 2009 22:33:55 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Hyperborean</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Nassim Taleb]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mathematics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Statistics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[The Black Swan]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.alphaverse.com/?p=249</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[This is exactly the phrase that crosses my mind when reading the critics of Taleb&#8217;s Ten principles for a Black Swan-proof world, mostly from &#8216;distinguished&#8217; financial &#8216;experts&#8217;. But the dog can bite in this case! I can feel their wrath, often mere desperation and basically, a persistent lack of objective argumentation against Taleb&#8217;s postulated theory of inherently unpredictable [...]
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<li><a href='http://www.alphaverse.com/the-black-swan-casting-pearls-to-swines-or-is-it/2009/09' rel='bookmark' title='A historical testimony to the US congress! Or is it?!'>A historical testimony to the US congress! Or is it?!</a></li>
<li><a href='http://www.alphaverse.com/and-then-god-gave-upon-thee-the-stone-talebs/2009/04' rel='bookmark' title='And then God gave upon thee, The Stone Talebs&#8217;'>And then God gave upon thee, The Stone Talebs&#8217;</a></li>
</ol>]]></description>
		<wfw:commentRss>http://www.alphaverse.com/are-you-gonna-bark-all-day-little-doggy-or-are-you-gonna-bite/2009/05/feed</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>1</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>And then God gave upon thee, The Stone Talebs&#8217;</title>
		<link>http://www.alphaverse.com/and-then-god-gave-upon-thee-the-stone-talebs/2009/04</link>
		<comments>http://www.alphaverse.com/and-then-god-gave-upon-thee-the-stone-talebs/2009/04#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 28 Apr 2009 21:59:24 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Hyperborean</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Nassim Taleb]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[The Black Swan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ludic Fallacy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Narrative Fallacy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Statistical regression fallacy]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.alphaverse.com/?p=228</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Okay, let&#8217;s try to elect the mediocre thinking to a higher level and see what it is that constitutes the human understading of the world. Or rather, what it is that doesn&#8217;t. But, isn&#8217;t that a bit too enthousiastic, one might ask?! Well, it depends who you ask I guess. Nassim Taleb, a Greek amongst [...]
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<li><a href='http://www.alphaverse.com/talebs-map-of-the-limits-of-statistics/2009/05' rel='bookmark' title='Taleb&#8217;s map of &#8216;The Limits of Statistics&#8217;'>Taleb&#8217;s map of &#8216;The Limits of Statistics&#8217;</a></li>
<li><a href='http://www.alphaverse.com/the-black-swan-casting-pearls-to-swines-or-is-it/2009/09' rel='bookmark' title='A historical testimony to the US congress! Or is it?!'>A historical testimony to the US congress! Or is it?!</a></li>
</ol>]]></description>
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		<slash:comments>1</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Taleb&#8217;s Appendix &#8211; Empirical Data for Black Swans</title>
		<link>http://www.alphaverse.com/talebs-mathematical-appendix-empirical-data-for-the-black-swans/2009/04</link>
		<comments>http://www.alphaverse.com/talebs-mathematical-appendix-empirical-data-for-the-black-swans/2009/04#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 24 Apr 2009 18:22:36 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Hyperborean</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Nassim Taleb]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[The Black Swan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Improbability]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mathematics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Statistics]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.alphaverse.com/?p=236</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The Role and Nature of High Impact Events (Black Swans): Technical Commentary and Empirical Data  -  Written by N. N. Taleb This is an appendix to the Edge piece.  It is striking how some simple, simple tests (of stability of the 4th moment and failures of stress testing) can invalidate tens of thousand of research papers [...]
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<li><a href='http://www.alphaverse.com/the-black-swan-nassim-tale/2009/04' rel='bookmark' title='The Black Swans&#8230;'>The Black Swans&#8230;</a></li>
<li><a href='http://www.alphaverse.com/black-swans-complexity-the-collapse-and-the-future/2009/05' rel='bookmark' title='Black Swans, complexity, financial collapse etc.'>Black Swans, complexity, financial collapse etc.</a></li>
</ol>]]></description>
		<wfw:commentRss>http://www.alphaverse.com/talebs-mathematical-appendix-empirical-data-for-the-black-swans/2009/04/feed</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>1</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Ten principles for a Black Swan-proof world</title>
		<link>http://www.alphaverse.com/ten-principles-for-a-black-swan-proof-world/2009/04</link>
		<comments>http://www.alphaverse.com/ten-principles-for-a-black-swan-proof-world/2009/04#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 13 Apr 2009 17:35:39 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Administrator</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[The Black Swan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Nassim Taleb]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.alphaverse.com/?p=185</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[1. What is fragile should break early while it is still small. Nothing should ever become too big to fail. Evolution in economic life helps those with the maximum amount of hidden risks – and hence the most fragile – become the biggest. 2. No socialisation of losses and privatisation of gains. Whatever may need to be [...]
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<li><a href='http://www.alphaverse.com/errors-in-the-interpretation-of-the-black-swan-philosophy/2009/11' rel='bookmark' title='Errors in the Interpretation of the Black Swan philosophy'>Errors in the Interpretation of the Black Swan philosophy</a></li>
<li><a href='http://www.alphaverse.com/the-black-swan-nassim-tale/2009/04' rel='bookmark' title='The Black Swans&#8230;'>The Black Swans&#8230;</a></li>
<li><a href='http://www.alphaverse.com/talebs-mathematical-appendix-empirical-data-for-the-black-swans/2009/04' rel='bookmark' title='Taleb&#8217;s Appendix &#8211; Empirical Data for Black Swans'>Taleb&#8217;s Appendix &#8211; Empirical Data for Black Swans</a></li>
</ol>]]></description>
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		<slash:comments>2</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>The Black Swans&#8230;</title>
		<link>http://www.alphaverse.com/the-black-swan-nassim-tale/2009/04</link>
		<comments>http://www.alphaverse.com/the-black-swan-nassim-tale/2009/04#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 10 Apr 2009 15:28:46 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Administrator</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Fora.tv]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[The Black Swan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[The Long Now Foundation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Nassim Taleb]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.alphaverse.com/?p=177</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[(This is the canonical black swan definition from the canonical &#8220;black swan&#8221; guy.) Dispatches from Extremistan (Nassim Taleb talk) A &#8220;black swan,&#8221; Taleb explained, is an event which is 1) Hard to predict; 2) Highly consequential; 3) Wrongly retro-predicted. We pretend we know why the big event happened, and so entrench our inability to deal [...]
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<li><a href='http://www.alphaverse.com/errors-in-the-interpretation-of-the-black-swan-philosophy/2009/11' rel='bookmark' title='Errors in the Interpretation of the Black Swan philosophy'>Errors in the Interpretation of the Black Swan philosophy</a></li>
<li><a href='http://www.alphaverse.com/ten-principles-for-a-black-swan-proof-world/2009/04' rel='bookmark' title='Ten principles for a Black Swan-proof world'>Ten principles for a Black Swan-proof world</a></li>
</ol>]]></description>
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